After having seen how European Nation-States committed suicide in the two World Wars of the first half of the 20th century, in 1945 Europe was generally a continent in ruins, at the mercy of both World Power: the US and the USSR. European Nation-States that in 1914 were controlling the world in three decades had become ruined countries with no influence in the Planet. Only when they realized their critical situation European States governments understood that the only way of being relevant again was getting together. First they tried the federal way (how we will see in Teaching guide 9) and the failure of this attempt led to the Communitarian Integration (Teaching guides 10, 11 and 12). But before getting there we should remember what has been the position of Europe from 1945 to the present in the World Order, especially after the end of the Cold War in 1989 and the disappearance of the USSR in 1991. Until the beginning of the Ukrainian War started by Putin in February 2022. This is what we are going to study in Teaching Guide 7.
But first let's remember how the European Nation States sank from 1918 to 1945. First during the Interbellum period that lasted until 1939 and led to World War II.
The distress of Europe in 1918
The European Nation-States were destroyed in 1918. Economies in the Entente Allies and in the Central Powers sunk. The growth of national indebtedness, both internal and external, of the Entente Allies and the Central Powers rose from 27.883.000.000 USD in 1914 to 224,174,000,000 in the period 1918-1919. US economic output doubled in 4 years and became the leading economy of the world after the war. Before World War 1 European Nation-States had 55% of the World GDP, and in 1918 the US hold 45%. In 1914 the US imported more than exported to Europe. In 1918 it was the other way round. Since 1918 the US became the leading World Power. It would remain so until 1945, and then will share world supremacy with the USSR. Until 1991.
From Liberal democracies to Totalitarian States
World War I provoked the crisis of the Laissez faire regimes, the Liberal Democracies, where the State had a minimum intervention. The Liberal model was replaced since the October 1917 Soviet Revolution by totalitarianism. Of course in Soviet Russia, but also, as a reaction (as the Establishment of European States were afraid that what it had happened in Russia could happen everywhere) by the raise of Mussolini’s Fascist regime in Italy (1922) and the triumph of Hitler’s Nazi regime in Germany (from 1933). The consequence was that Europe was torn as a result of the growing tensions between the Communist and the Fascist-Nazi models of Dictatorship. Why? Because on the one hand Lenin had founded in 1919 the Kommintern for expanding communist revolution worldwide, which finally would result in a relaunch of Russian imperialism, and on the other side Mussolini wanted to create an Italian Empire in Africa with its colonial expeditions in Libya, Abyssinia and Ethiopia, and finally Hitler decided that Germany hat to expand Eastwards (Lebensraum), to consolidate the might of the Third Reich
From the Spanish Civil War (1936-1939) to World War II
Tensions exploded for the first time in the Spanish Civil War (1936-1939) in which Stalin supported one side and Hitler and Mussolini the other one, while European and American democracies followed the non intervention principle.
The Spanish carnage, however, was only the prologue of a much greater global confrontation: World War 2, that started with a surprising alliance between Stalin and Hitler, that agreed in invading and splitting Poland, a fresh new State created as a result of the Versailles Peace of 1919.
World War 2 started because Hitler and Stalin agreed on an alliance with the Ribbentrop-Molotov Pact of September 8, 1939. Three weeks before the Wehrmacht attack on Poland that launched World War 2.
Two weeks later Stalin occupied its part of Poland and ordered Katyn’s massacre from March to May 1940.
Hitler commits the same mistake as Napoleon: invade Russia
Hitler would have won the war if he had not ordered the invasion of the USSR on 22 June 1941. Because after a year of a quick invasion, the Wehrmacht was stopped at Stalingrad (actual Volvograd) in the fiercest battle of the whole war that lasted 6 months (From August 23, 1942 to February 2, 1943).
It was Stalin's moment. The Russian dictator understood that this battle was decisive and sente everything he had, first to stop the German advance, and then to surround German Army. This was a major blow on Hitler's prestige, as for the first time Europeans understood that Germany could lose the war.
Stalin wins World War II and share the World with Roosevelt.
The problem was that the Russian Army and the Stalinist dreadful dictatorship would become decisive for imposing the final defeat of Germany two years and three months after Stalingrad’s battle. Along with the US, Russians won World War II. This is why in the Tehran Conference of 1943, and then in Yalta (February 1945) and Potsdam (July-August 1945) the World was divided between Russians and Americans. Despite that Churchill was present, European Governments had nothing to say in the New World Order.
The key of it was Stalin’s position. After having started the war as Hitler’s ally, Soviet Russia ended the war in the side of allies. This paradox explains why Soviet Dictatorship was accepted by intellectuals in the Western world, and the Communist Parties depending on Moscow spread in Western European democracies.
If you want to understand the fascination that Stalin exerted over European Public Opinion you should not miss the film Mr Jones (2019) directed by Polish Agnieska Holland. The film is based on the true story of Gareth Jones, an ambitious ambitious young journalist who had gained some renown for his interview with Hitler. Thanks to his connections with the former British Prime Minister Lloyd George (both Welsh) he is granted official permission in 1933 to travel to the Soviet Union to interview Stalin and find out more about Russian apparently economic success of the five year development plan. Jones cannot leave Moscow but he escapes, jumps in a train and travels unofficially to Ukraine to discover evidence of the big Famine (Holomodor), the enforced collection of grain, empty villages, with starving people that are reduced to cannibalism. But on his efforts to denounce the real Stalin on his return to Britain, he struggles to get his story taken seriously. The film ends by recording that Jones died while reporting in Inner Mongolia with a guide who was secretly connected the Soviet Secret Service the State Political Directorate (GPU).
The GPU is the symbol of Stalin's brutal repression that has remained one of the main features of the Russian succesive regimes since then. The GPU was replaced in 1934 by the NKVD (People’s Commissariat for Internal Affairs) that will send the Spaniard NKVD agent Ramon Mercader to assassinate Trosky in Mexico on 21 August 1940, by order of Stalin.
Trosky killed by NKVD Agent Ramon Mercader (Mexico, 21 August 1940)The NKVD became in 1954 by the dreadful KGB (Committee for State Security) . After the disappearance of the Soviet Union in 1991 the KGB was replaced by the FSB (Federal Service of Security), which has become an essential instrument of repression in Putin's neozarist regime. Bear in mind that Putin started his career as a member of the dreadful "Stasi" the secret police of East Germany.
The Cold War (1948-1989)
Stalin's alliance with the US did not last long. The Marshall Plan (1947) will be the detonator of the Cold War (1948-1989) as Stalin would not accept American aid for developing market economy in Eastern Europe. It all started with the Berlin Blockade (24 June 1948 to 12 May 1949), that ended as a result of the creation of NATO on April 4, 1949.
The result was the Iron curtain (Churchill) and it's symbol: the Berlin Wall (1961-1989).
But the Iron Curtain did not only affect Europe. Between 1948 and 1989 the whole World would be divided between the countries that followed Capitalist Democracy and Communist Model. There was not an open war but the USSR and the US were struggling in all continents, until the dissolution of the USSR in 1991.
The defeat of the Communist model as a result of the Cold War was possible because Western democracies adapted to the Social Question through the development of the Welfare State Model, that paradoxically started in the US in the 1930’s with the New Deal policy of FDR. From 1945 Social Security, and Public Welfare aids were supported all over Western Europe by tax payers. Something that was initially possible thanks to the extraordinary Economic growth of the Thirty Glorious years.
This is why as a reaction to USSR intervention during the Dubcek’s Prague’s Spring (January-August 1968).the European Communists parties started rebelling against Moscow. That was the the advent of Euro communism, with leaders as Italian Enrico Berlinguer,
The end of Communism?
The fall of the Berlin Wall and the extinction of the Soviet Union brought market economy to ancient communists regimes. Russia has become since 1991 a system dominated by powerful multimillionaire oligarchs protected by Putin as far as they back his regime. Because otherwise they end like Boris Berezovski whao after having rebelled against Putin was found dead in his London home in March 2013.
And China after Den Xiaoping (1978-1992) has entered in the Era of Market Socialism that has transformed China in a leading World Power in the 21st century. A very powerful Dictatorial state that surprisingly is playing full the Market rules. An amazing contradiction.
The “socialization” of Western capitalism and the “capitalization” of Eastern Communism has led in very efficient way to the globalization of the World. The consequence of globalization from the International Relations perspective is may be the beginning of a global constitutional history.
This global approach to World tensions started with the creation of the League of Nations (1920-1946), that was substituted by the United Nations since 1945). The rule since then is that International Organizations (WTO, GATT, IMF, World Bank) created by Treaties, seek to rule the world through negotiation and governance instead of through authority and military intervention.
The Post Cold War World (1991-2022)
But the disappearance of the Iron Curtain and the fall of the Communists regimes did not led to the End of history (because apparently the American capitalist model had won the Cold War). We do not assist today to a unique American leadership as we are facing a multi-polar world where China, India and the Russian federation are challenging US supremacy.
On top of that we are facing a global World in which economic and social differences are increasing. It all started with the 1975 Oil crisis that stopped the expansionist cycle of Western economy. And suddenly wealthy Western States could not afford the Welfare State System. Which brought the anti-regulation movement of the 1980’s spearheaded by Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan, and bringing back Laissez faire in a neo-liberal wave.
Capitalism after the 1980’s neoliberal way has produced a substantial rising of economic and social inequalities, that is leading to a new oligarchic model of the State controlled by the Establishment, despite the interesting theories of the Legal and Political American thinker John Rawls who developed a very peculiar way of making compatible the Laissez faire principle and the protection of equality. Have you heard about the Universal income? He was the guy who brought the idea into our contemporary world.
After the collapsing of the Soviet Union in December 1991, the only two real communist countries are Cuba and North Korea. But Russia and China are trying to impose their authoritarian model to the globalized world, as an alternative to the Western Democratic System. The Ukraine’s invasion by Putin troops has made it clear, especially after the sudden alliance between Xi Jiping and Putin (4 February 2022).
Democracy is in crisis, with the rise of populisms, even in the US with the Trump Administration that brought the shameful episode of the storming of the United States Capitol by the mob of Trump supporters on January 6, 2021. What is crazy is that despite this ominous episode Trump is running for Presidency again in 2024. Which is a clear symptom of the weakness of the democratic model.
Is the European Union the last champion of the Free World?
Looking at what is happening to the US, a country that after 1945 was supposed to be the champion of the Free world, we have to admit that the European Union is from this perspective doing much better. Simply because the Rule of Law is one of the pillars of European integration, along with a respect of the Welfare State principle.
The problem is that after the Ukraine’s invasion European States have discovered that they cannot entirely count on the US military protection and that European States have to reinforce their military policy independently from NATO. Because economical union is not enough and if we Europeans want to maintain our democracies we will have to fight for them. Unfortunately it is not sure at all that Member States of the EU have understood the lesson of the Ukraine War, as today it seems that Putin's Russia is doing much better and actually could win the War. Which would be disastrous for Europe and for the Free World.
The problem is how Europe is facing the 21st century as a huge market (first GDP in the world) but with no leadership, as lacking of a strong Executive. The problem for Europe is that our old Nation States are doing very poorly at the global level. We are irrelevant compared to China, Russia, India or even the Petro Monarchies as Saudi Arabia, Qatar, or the United Arab Emirates. And most of this countries –with may be with the exception of India- are not real democracies. Of course we are not used to it because the world had been in peace from 1991 to 2022. But things will never be the same, independently of the issue of the Ukraine’s war.
The most important idea you have to retain of Teaching Guide 7 is how after 1945 Europe was left far behind World leadership, despite our considerable economic expansion Nevertheless prosperity has not helped European nation states to join the league of the leading protagonists of the World contemporary history. Ukraine’s War may change this situation after almost 8 decades, but it is not sure that European States are willing or capable of resisting Putin and Xi Jiping. Mainly because money still makes the world go round after all.
The main problem that Europe is facing to get back as a protagonist in World history is that we have not found an effective way of getting together to defend our interests and our political, legal, social and economical model. Why? This is what we are going to find out in the next Teaching Guides.
INSTRUCTIONS: First read the text included in your Materials (pages 163 to 181), before proceeding to answer the Concrete Questions, the Concepts and the General Questions.
Concerning the Basic Chronology (pages 182-186) the crucial dates are the following:
1946 (Appearance of the Italian Republic),
1947 (Marshall Plan)
1948, June (beginning of the Berlin Blockade),
1949 (Creation of NATO, Appearance of German Federal Republic and Mao’s triumph in China),
1953 (Death of Stalin),
1958 (DE Gaulle’s in power),
1959 (Castro’s victory in Cuba),
1961 (beginning of the Berlin Wall),
1963 (JFK’s assassination),
1964 (beginning of the Vietnam War),
1966 (beginning of China’s Cultural Revolution),
1968 January-August (Prague Spring),
1973 (military coup in Chile against Allende),
1974 (Nixon’s resignation Watergate scandal),
1975 (end of Vietnam War and death of Franco),
1976 (Death of Mao),
1978 (Den Xiao Ping in Power and beginning of Market Socialism in China),
1979 (Founding of the Islamic Republic of Iran),
1985 (Gorbatchev in power in the USSR),
1989, November 9 (Fall of the Berlin Wall),
1990 (German reunification),
1991 (Extinction of the USSR),
2001, September 11 (Islamic Terrorism hits the US),
2004, March 11 (Terrorist attack in Madrid),
2005 (Angela Merkel becomes German chancellor),
2008 (Obama becomes US President),
2014 (Juan Carlos I resigns on his son Philip VI as king of Spain, and Scottish referendum of independence),
2015 (Bataclan terrorist attack in Paris),
2016 (Brexit referendum and Donald Trump election),
2017 October 1st (Catalan independence illegal referendum),
2020, January 31 (The UK leaves the EU).
2020, March (Expansion of COVID 19’s Pandemic all over the world),
2021 (January 6: assault on US Capitol by Trump supporters;
January 20: Joe Biden takes office as the 46 US President
8 December: Olaf Scholz German Chancelor.
And of course you have to add:
1999, the 31st December when Putin gets to Power after Boris Yeltsin resignation,
2022, the 24th of January, date of the beginning of the Ukraine’s invasion.
TOPIC FOR DISCUSSION IN CLASS: Why Europeans despite being developed economies we do not have a decisive influence in today’s world?
Please consider the following aspects:
1. Remember the History of Europe in 1919-1939, and from 1945. Especially during the Cold War period. Try to think of the most influential European leaders during this period.
2. Think why a country like the Russian Federation where the average population is facing serious economic problems is far more influential than European nation-States today.
3. Do the US, China, Russia, India have a powerful national narrative? If so explain why and which one. And compare with the European reality.
4. Is the Welfare State a problem in terms of Economic growth? Read the pages about John Rawls theory (176) before answering. Is social justice (reducing inequalities) a problem for becoming a powerful country worldwide? Think about Boris Johnson following statement: "The reason we have the vaccine success is because of capitalism, because of greed, my friends." (24 March 2021)
5. Is democracy a problem for having a powerful State? Think of how Russia has been trying to destabilize Western democracies, taking advantage of local domestic conflicts (as US Presidential Elections, Catalan Conflict, Brexit). And also how a dictatorial regime as China is becoming a leading power. Also consider the case of Petro Monarchies.
6. Does the money really makes the world go round? Is it material comfort all that matters.